2021 NFL Mock Draft: Dolphins get their playmaker, Carolina takes Justin Fields

With the NFL Draft just over a week away, wide receivers and quarterbacks appear set to dominate the Day One headlines. My latest mock draft includes a mix of scouting reports, other mocks, and just a dash of personal bias. No trades, because the Chicago Bears will inevitably strike a deal worse than anything I could dream up. Let’s dive in.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson

Every year, my friend and I bet a dollar on who the No. 1 draft pick will be. Not this time. This pick is so certain that Lawrence has already made a $20,000 donation to Jacksonville charities. Jets fans might want to close their eyes.

2. New York Jets — Zach Wilson, QB, BYU

Unless you count Chad Pennington, which you shouldn’t, the last notable quarterback drafted by the Jets was Joe Namath. Wilson joins the team as yet another franchise savior, with the mobility and playmaking ability to bring some excitement to a worn out fan base. 

3. San Francisco 49ers — Mac Jones, QB, Alabama

San Francisco isn’t done swapping picks, and they may trade down here. What the team needs is an offensive playmaker, and the only one worthy of being drafted this high is TE Kyle Pitts — a position the Niners obviously have covered. But if they do stay put at No. 3, they’ll almost certainly upgrade at quarterback and try to run back their 2019 Super Bowl season.

4. Atlanta Falcons — Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida

Atlanta has been telling people that Matt Ryan still has a few years of quality football left, and they may not be bluffing. They’ll pass on a quarterback here to pair Pitts with wideouts Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley, creating one of the most intimidating receiving corps in football — if they don’t trade down.

5. Cincinnati Bengals — Penei Sewell, OL, Oregon

Wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase is an option, but franchise quarterback Joe Burrow is returning from an ACL tear and needs better protection. Sewell is as good as it gets: 331 pounds of explosive ability with a high football IQ.

6. Miami Dolphins — Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU

Miami’s front office will panic if the Falcons take Pitts, but celebrate when the Bengals choose Sewell. Chase is a transcendent receiver like the Dolphins have never had, with the quickness and route running ability to compensate for quarterback Tua Tagovailoa’s growing pains.

7. Detroit Lions — Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama

Detroit is entering a rebuild, and they’re better off riding it out with Jared Goff than taking a flyer at quarterback here. The best option is to find a reliable offensive lineman, but Sewell is the only truly elite prospect. Instead, the Lions “settle” for Waddle and bank on finding their quarterback with a top five pick next year. 

8. Carolina Panthers — Justin Fields, QB, Ohio St.

The Panthers didn’t give up that much for Sam Darnold, and there’s no way for them to be confident he’s the guy. If Fields is still available at No. 8, he’s going to Carolina. Head coach Matt Rhule will be willing to have an open competition in training camp, one that Fields will likely win.

9. Denver Broncos — Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama

The poor Broncos are always stuck in the middle: not good enough to make the playoffs but not bad enough to draft a top quarterback. They’ve missed too many times at the position, so they’ll settle for Surtain, a proven corner with the size to match up with the league’s best.

10. Dallas Cowboys — Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina

The Dallas defense was embarrassing last year, finishing 28th in points allowed. Pass rush is more of an immediate need, but Jerry Jones has a history of taking the best player available. Horn has more talent than any of this year’s defensive ends.

11. New York Giants — Rashawn Slater, OL, Northwestern

Sometime in the distant future, the Giants will enter a draft without gaping holes along the offensive line. That day is not today. Slater is smaller than most tackles but has an NFL-ready skill set, something New York has repeatedly learned is necessary in a prospect.

12. Philadelphia Eagles — Devonta Smith, WR, Alabama

Speaking of embarrassing NFC East facts, the Eagles haven’t had a 1,000-yard wide receiver since 2014. The top option on their depth chart is Jalen Reagor, who you’ve probably never heard of if you’re not an Eagles fan. Plus, who wouldn’t want to see Smith reunite with quarterback Jalen Hurts?

13. Los Angeles Chargers — Christian Darrisaw, OL, Virginia Tech

The rule still applies: protect your young quarterback. It will be tempting to give Justin Herbert another weapon, but the Chargers need to elevate a left tackle position that has been mediocre for too long.

14. Minnesota Vikings — Kwity Paye, DE, Michigan 

The Vikings totaled 23 sacks last year, and their best defensive end had 3.5. There’s better value than Paye available here, but they won’t go very far in January if they don’t address their problems on the edge.



15. New England Patriots — Trey Lance, QB, N. Dakota St.

Lance is not going to last until the fifteenth pick, but the Patriots have been linked to him for a while either way. Bill Belichick usually isn’t one for splashy trades, but he may need to make an exception to find Tom Brady’s successor. Perhaps a deal with the Falcons could be coming?

16. Arizona Cardinals — Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech

The Cardinals have already surrounded Kyler Murray with enough weapons to succeed. A recent back surgery has most experts projecting that Farley will fall to the end of the first round, but when healthy he’s the clear-cut best corner in the class. Someone’s going to take a chance on him.

17. Oakland Raiders — Micah Parsons, LB, Penn St.

John Gruden has a history of making head-scratching picks, but this should be a no-brainer. Linebacker isn’t an obvious need, but Parsons is a top-ten talent that could get lost in the frenzy of quarterbacks and wide receivers.

18. Miami Dolphins — Jeremiah Owsu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame

The Dolphins desperately need an edge rusher, but there isn’t much high-end talent at the position this year. Owusu-Koramoah should help shore up a run defense that lacks a big playmaker and ranked 23rd in tackles for loss last year.

19. Washington Football Team — Zaven Collins, DE, Tulsa

If Washington doesn’t make a big trade to move up the board, they could be starting Ryan Fitzpatrick in Week 1. If they stay put, there won’t be an offensive player that makes sense here. Instead, they’ll bolster an already fearsome pass rush with Collins, a speedy complement to Chase Young.

20. Chicago Bears — Teven Jenkins, OL, Oklahoma St.

The Bears have two options here: offer up the farm to San Francisco for the second time in four drafts and risk setting the franchise back years like they did with Mitch Trubisky, or try and address their need at right tackle. Jenkins has the raw power to be a starter for years.

21. Indianapolis Colts — Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota

Indianapolis lost to the Bills in the postseason because they had no reliable wide receivers. New quarterback Carson Wentz became a laughing stock in Philadelphia because he had no reliable wide receivers. Guess who the Colts are drafting? They could probably trade down and still end up with Bateman or Elijah Moore.

22. Tennessee Titans — Jaelan Phillips, DE, Miami

After a failed experiment with Jadeveon Clowney, the Titans are still an edge rusher away from joining the upper echelon of NFL teams. Phillips comes with some injury concerns, but his intangibles are too good to pass up. Besides, Derrick Henry could probably play defensive end if they really needed him to.

23. New York Jets — Azeez Ojuliar, DE, Georgia

With needs at basically every position, the Jets go best player available. Their front seven lacks an identity but is closer to success than you might think.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers — Najee Harris, RB, Alabama

Reports have suggested that the Steelers let James Conner walk because they’re locked into a running back at No. 24. The offense hasn’t looked right since Le’veon Bell’s holdout, and while I’m not convinced Harris is a first round talent, he seems destined to be the pick here.

25. Jacksonville Jaguars —  Elijah Moore, WR, Ole Miss

Trevor Lawrence wasn’t enough? The Jets get some small measure of revenge by taking Ojuilar off the board, so the Jags give Lawrence an intelligent deep threat who went for 602 yards in his final three games.

26. Cleveland Browns — Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern

I don’t think I’ll ever get used to seeing the Browns picking outside the top 10. Last year, Cleveland learned the hard way that the road to the Super Bowl rests on stopping the Chiefs’ Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. Newsome gives the Browns’ 22nd-ranked pass defense a better shot this time around.

27. Baltimore Ravens — Richie Grant, S, UCF

The Ravens are yet another wideout-needy team, but there won’t be good value with Moore and Bateman gone. Grant is a little rough around the edges, but his speed will gel with Baltimore’s approach. Some scouts have him falling to the second round, but the Ravens often buck expectations in the draft with success (see: Lamar Jackson).

28. New Orleans Saints — Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU

The Saints’ needs don’t match up with the players who will be available here, partially because they don’t actually have many needs. Moehrig is a low-risk pick with the personality to be a locker room leader as the franchise turns a corner without Drew Brees.

29. Green Bay Packers — Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida

Finally. The Packers bow to pressure from their fans by drafting Toney as the door slowly closes on their Super Bowl window. He’s also taken a few snaps at quarterback, and for some reason Green Bay seems to like giving Aaron Rodgers competition. (That was a joke, but so is Jordan Love).

30. Buffalo Bills — Jayson Oweh, DE, Penn St.

Just like with the Browns, it’s all about stopping Kansas City. Oweh has the reflexes to harass Patrick Mahomes and keeps the Bills on track to build the best defense in the league. 

31. Kansas City Chiefs — Alex Leatherwood, OL, Alabama

After releasing former No. 1 pick Eric Fisher, the Chiefs desperately need someone to step up at left tackle. Leatherwood has the versatility and experience to play anywhere on the line.

32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Gregory Rousseau, DE, Miami

It’s anyone’s guess whether the Bucs’ pass rush is actually the juggernaut that won them a Super Bowl or the inept group we saw in the first half of the season. Regardless, pressure up front is their path towards repeating as champs, and you can’t have too much of a good thing.

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2021 NFL Draft: Don’t buy into the wide receiver hype

If you haven’t noticed yet, NFL general managers have short memories. Mitch Trubisky didn’t stop them from trusting inexperienced college players. Lamar Jackson didn’t teach them not to pass on established stars.

That’s why last year’s class of first round wide receivers, which featured instant stars like Justin Jefferson and CeeDee Lamb, could lead to busts in 2021. With the NFL Draft less than two weeks away, The Athletic’s latest mock draft has five wideouts going in the first round, starting with Ja’Marr Chase at No. 5. After all, last year’s wide receiver group was a success. What could go wrong?

Answer: everything. The 2014 draft was filled with first round receivers that made an instant impact in the league, and teams splurged accordingly on questionable wideouts in 2015.

Let’s take a look:

YearPickPlayerGYdsTDPro Bowls
20144Sammy Watkins864665330
20147Mike Evans1068266613
201412Odell Beckham Jr.826830513
201420Brandin Cooks1036880400
201428Kelvin Benjamin613021200
20154Amari Cooper936211384
20157Kevin White1728500
201514DeVante Parker834212220
201520Nelson Agholor873411260
201526Breshad Perriman632066140
201529Phillip Dorsett711634110
Source: Pro Football Reference

Brandin Cooks was the only first round receiver in 2014 who didn’t reach 900 yards in his rookie season. Odell Beckham Jr. and Mike Evans exceeded even the loftiest expectations with 12 and seven touchdowns, respectively. And if not for injuries that derailed the careers of Kelvin Benjamin and Sammy Watkins, this likely would have been the best wideout class in history.

Those early dividends caused a wideout frenzy in the first round of 2015, where the injury-prone Kevin White and the speedy but talentless Phillip Dorsett were considered elite prospects.

The warning signs were there — old draft profiles mention how Dorsett lacked technique and that there was “legitimate concern” Nelson Agholor’s skills would never develop — but recency bias prevailed. Needless to say, only Amari Cooper lived up to his draft status.

After that, GMs seemingly learned the risks of overestimating wide receivers. Only seven were drafted in the first round in 2017-2019; Calvin Ridley was the only one who became a star.

But the 2021 Draft seems poised to be a repeat of 2015. Both Rashod Bateman and Elijah Moore are projected first round talents with short records of excellent play. Just look at Bateman’s draft profile:

“”The production looks good on paper, but I was at a couple of his games in 2019 and I just wanted to feel (his presence) more.” — Midwest scout for AFC team

Regardless, teams are going to be paying a premium for wide receivers this year. Let’s just hope they fare better than Kevin White.

1st & 10 – Episode 31: NFL 2020 Season Review

Adam & Mitch are back for one last episode of the 2020 NFL Season before preseason duties ensue! The duo dives into their takes and how right were they?

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The Blitz and Pick Six Podcast – Super Bowl LV Recap

Chevy is back to wrap-up Super Bowl LV as his Tampa Bay Buccaneers has sent him in a frenzy. He doesn’t do it alone as George Jarjour from TheSportsonTap.com joins him as a special guest! The duo give a quick recap of their reactions to Super Bowl LV and did The Weeknd exceed expectations? These gentlemen attempt an objective take on Tom Brady being the best American athlete in team sports. They decide if the 7th ring is the toughest to earn so far in Brady’s career and share their “receipts” of who was right and who was wrong!

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2020 NFL – Playoff Schedule & Results

The 2020 NFL Playoffs are here! We’ve got you covered for the latest NFL 2020 Playoff schedule!

Kansas City Chiefs & Tampa Bay Buccaneers


Sunday 2/7/21 - 6:30 PM EST
Raymond James Stadium

Tampa Bay, Florida



Conference Championships – January 24, Sunday

Buccaneers 31 @ Packers 26


Bills 24 @ Chiefs 38


2020 — DIVISIONAL PLAYOFF

Rams 1832 Packers

Buccaneers 30 @ 20 Saints

Browns 17 @ 22 Chiefs


Ravens 3 @ 17 Bills


2020 — WILD CARD

First Round Bye

@

Bears 9 @ 21 Saints

Rams  30 @ 20 Seahawks

Buccaneers 31 @ 23 Football Team


First Round Bye

@

Colts 24 @ 27 Bills

Ravens 20 @ 13 Titans

Browns 48 @ 37 Steelers



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1st & 10 – Episode 30: 2020 NFL Conference Championships Preview

Adam & Mitch are back! In this episode they wrap-up their thoughts on the Divisional Round matchups before diving into their predictions for the 2020 NFL Conference Championships. It’s Tom Brady vs Aaron Rodgers in the NFC. Patrick Mahomes looks to get back to the Super Bowl but one last obstacle is in the way, the Buffalo Bills. Tune in now to see who Adam and Mitch select to go to Tampa Bay for another final showdown.

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NFL 2020 Playoffs – Conference Championships Expert Picks

NFL 2020 Playoffs Conference Championships expert picks are in from the Baseline Times Experts are in! Follow along with Tallysight.com as our expert picks are compared to many industry experts. Need some help making that final bet?

  • Our Baseline Times experts ranked 8th place in last week’s Divisional Round games in straight-up picks! This score reflects that our expert John Glowatz went 4-0 in last week’s games.
  • Baseline Times ranked 2nd place overall in over/under picks for the 2020 NFL Season.
  • The Baseline Bet is here! Our experts are making picks daily and providing you an insight into what we are picking and the results! Join now exclusively on our Discord to find out what bet to make today and the success rates!

Need some help making picks? NFL 2020 Conference Championships picks are here from Baseline Times below!


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  • As the NFL 2020 comes to a close, we’ve been thrilled to provide weekly picks week after week! We’ve partnered with Tallysight.com to provide you a comparison of our experts next to the industry’s top experts when it comes to making these picks. You can check the week-to-week breakdown or overall season rankings for us at Tallysight.com.
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NFL 2020 Playoffs – Divisional Round Expert Picks

NFL 2020 Playoffs Divisional Round expert picks are in from the Baseline Times Experts are in! Follow along with Tallysight.com as our expert picks are compared to many industry experts. Need some help making that final bet?

  • Baseline Times as an organization ranks 2nd place for Over/Under rankings picks through Week 17
  • Our Expert Mike Jano was a top expert in Wild Card games last week for straight-up picks.
  • Our expert Milli Mentions ranked 5th place in last week’s Wild Card games. Milli Mentions score reflects his accuracy in selecting the overall winner, spread, and over/under correctly.

Need some help making picks? NFL 2020 Divisional Round picks are here from Baseline Times below!


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  • Your fantasy football season over yet? Didn’t make the playoffs? Well, come celebrate misery with misery. Our Baseline Times NFL staff has created a new way to praise “poor QB play”. Introducing the Inaugural Poor QB Fantasy Football League! Come join us to see which of the NFL’s Quarterbacks have thrived to suck as much as possible and produce winners in this league.
  • As the NFL 2020 comes to a close we’ve been extremely happy to provide weekly picks week after week! We’ve partnered with Tallysight.com to provide you a comparison of our experts next to the industry’s top experts when it comes to making these picks. You can check the week-to-week breakdown or overall season rankings for us at Tallysight.com.
  • Follow us on Twitter and Instagram for around the clock notifications when we drop our weekly picks. If you’re a College Football fan we also give you weekly picks and for the CFP!



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NFL 2020 Playoffs – Wild Card Picks

NFL 2020 Playoffs Wild Card picks are in from the Baseline Times Experts are in! Follow along with Tallysight.com as our expert picks are compared to many industry experts. Need some help making that final bet?

  • Baseline Times as an organization ranks 2nd place for Over/Under rankings picks through Week 17
  • Our Expert Gabe Lloyd ranks 10th place currently this season in the Straight Up category through Week 17
  • Our Expert Mike Jano ranks 8th place currently this season in Over/Under picks through Week 17

Need some help making picks? NFL 2020 Wild Card picks are here from Baseline Times below!


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  • Your fantasy football season over yet? Didn’t make the playoffs? Well, come celebrate misery with misery. Our Baseline Times NFL staff has created a new way to praise “poor QB play”. Introducing the Inaugural Poor QB Fantasy Football League! Come join us to see which of the NFL’s Quarterbacks have thrived to suck as much as possible and produce winners in this league.
  • As the NFL 2020 comes to a close we’ve been extremely happy to provide weekly picks week after week! We’ve partnered with Tallysight.com to provide you a comparison of our experts next to the industry’s top experts when it comes to making these picks. You can check the week-to-week breakdown or overall season rankings for us at Tallysight.com.
  • Follow us on Twitter and Instagram for around the clock notifications when we drop our weekly picks. If you’re a College Football fan we also give you weekly picks and for the CFP!



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Episode 28: CFP Reactions & NFL 2020 Playoffs Preview

Chevy is joined by a line-up of Baseline Times finest experts when it comes to all things football. At the top of the episode, John Glowatz aka the “Straight-Up Pick King”, joins Chevy to discuss his overall thoughts on the College Football season, his thoughts on if Ohio State deserves a shot in the CFP, and John gives you his CFP pick for the Championship game. Adam & Mitch of the 1st & 10 Podcast from Baseline Times joins Chevy to discuss the 2020 NFL Season. Adam & Mitch share their thoughts on the success of the season, surprises, and disappointments, and also share their picks for Wild Card Weekend for the opening week of the 2020 NFL Playoffs. Also, find out who they think is the MVP this season!

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